Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Ouargla		El Harrach

	1	X	2
	12	4.6	1.25
	9.09	3.94	1.32
	10.35	4.13	1.34
	9.8	4.1	1.34
	12	4.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.65 ↑ (4.58)	4.27 ↑ (3.25)	1.3 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ouargla
8.6%

Draw
21.3%

El Harrach
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

28%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

27.2%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ouargla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ouargla's form might have worsened.

El Harrach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Harrach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ouargla than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ouargla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Harrach than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Harrach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ouargla - El Harrach Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - El Harrach (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Harrach (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Ouargla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Harrach is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ouargla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match El Harrach is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ouargla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ouargla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IRB Ouargla
Algerian Ligue 2
10.04.25	Souf - Ouargla	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Ouargla - Djijel	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Khémis El Khechna - Ouargla	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Ouargla - Chaouia	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Khroub - Ouargla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWL
- El Harrach
Algerian Cup
15.04.25	USM Alger - El Harrach	1:0 ET ✺
Algerian Ligue 2
10.04.25	El Harrach - Teleghma	1:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
26.03.25	El Harrach - Mostaganem	2:1 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 2
22.03.25	El Harrach - Khroub	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Olympique Magrane - El Harrach	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
07.12.24	El Harrach - Ouargla	3:0
04.03.24	El Harrach - Ouargla	1:1
13.10.23	Ouargla - El Harrach	1:0
18.02.23	El Harrach - Ouargla	2:4
07.10.22	Ouargla - El Harrach	1:1

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