Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Oyonesa		Agoncillo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.15	4.15
	1.83	3.18	4.23
	1.72	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)	3.21 ↓ (3.33)	4.36 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oyonesa
50.9%

Draw
28.3%

Agoncillo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

27.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oyonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oyonesa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Oyonesa - Agoncillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Arriaga A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oyonesa won 2.

Oyonesa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Agoncillo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Agoncillo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oyonesa is a strong favorite.

We predict that Oyonesa will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oyonesa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oyonesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Oyonesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
18.10.25	Villegas - Oyonesa	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Oyonesa - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Comillas - Oyonesa	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Oyonesa - San Marcial	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	La Calzada - Oyonesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.10.25	Anguiano - Agoncillo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Agoncillo - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Agoncillo - Yagüe	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	Villegas - Agoncillo	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Comillas - Agoncillo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.03.25	Agoncillo - Oyonesa	0:1
01.11.24	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	1:1
23.04.23	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	0:1
08.01.23	Agoncillo - Oyonesa	1:1
01.05.22	Agoncillo - Oyonesa	1:2
19.01.22	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	0:1
24.01.21	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	2:0

Oyonesa - Agoncillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide