Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 12

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Oyonesa		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.11	2.98	3.32
	1.93	3.4	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.72)	3.15 ↓ (3.43)	3.33 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oyonesa
44.5%

Draw
28.6%

Náxara
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oyonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oyonesa's form might have worsened.

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oyonesa than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oyonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náxara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs)).

Oyonesa in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Náxara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Náxara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oyonesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oyonesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Oyonesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
27.11.22	Calahorra B - Oyonesa	0:4 ✺
20.11.22	Oyonesa - Comillas	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Varea - Oyonesa	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Vianés - Oyonesa	0:3 ✺
23.10.22	Oyonesa - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
27.11.22	Náxara - Vianés	1:3 ✺
19.11.22	Yagüe - Náxara	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Náxara - Haro Deportivo	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	La Calzada - Náxara	0:3 ✺
23.10.22	Náxara - Berceo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.09.18	Náxara - Oyonesa	2:0

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