Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 1


	Oţelul Galaţi		Baia Mare

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.48	3.75	5.8
	1.52	3.8	5.4
	1.58	4.04	5.64
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.51	3.94	5.45
	1.57	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.71)	3.83 ↑ (3.27)	5.53 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oţelul Galaţi
59.7%

Draw
23.8%

Baia Mare
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oţelul Galaţi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oţelul Galaţi's performance.

Baia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oţelul Galaţi than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oţelul Galaţi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baia Mare than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	6.1%	15.2%

Oţelul Galaţi - Baia Mare Predictions

Users Predictions: Oţelul Galaţi will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group) and 15 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group)).

Oţelul is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Baia Mare is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oţelul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Baia Mare have a series of home games.

In this match Oţelul is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oţelul Galaţi
Romanian Cup
10.11.22	Oţelul Galaţi - FCSB	0:0 ✺
Romanian Division 2
05.11.22	Unirea Slobozia - Oţelul Galaţi	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Oţelul Galaţi - Buzău	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Steaua București - Oţelul Galaţi	1:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
20.10.22	Oţelul Galaţi - Mioveni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLL
- FCM Baia Mare
Romanian Cup
09.11.22	Baia Mare - Hermannstadt	2:3 ✺
Romanian Division 2
05.11.22	Baia Mare - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Politehnica Timișoara - Baia Mare	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Baia Mare - Viitorul Șelimbăr	3:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
20.10.22	Baia Mare - Argeș Pitești	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTWT

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