Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadionul Otelul (Galati) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Moldoveanu C. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:30	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	16:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Romania	17:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Oţelul Galaţi		UTA Arad

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3	Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.92
	2.4	3.22	3.29
	2.51	3.18	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.54	3.05	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oţelul Galaţi
38.5%

Draw
30.4%

UTA Arad
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

30.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oţelul Galaţi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

UTA Arad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oţelul Galaţi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UTA Arad than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Oţelul Galaţi - UTA Arad Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Oţelul will win (votes: 5 - 50%). UTA Arad will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oţelul: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UTA Arad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dur-Bozoanca C. (G) 2. Zhelev M. 31. Zivulic D. 6. Iacob P. 88. Kazu 17. Ciobanu A. 8. Lameira J. (C) 11. Bana S. 7. Andrezinho 99. Luan 9. Patrick	33. Gorcea A. (G) 13. Iacob F. 6. Poulolo F. 60. Pospelov D. 3. Alomerovic D. 16. Odada R. 5. Mino S. 11. Abdallah H. 8. Roman A. (C) 20. Taroi D. 9. Coman M.
Substitutes
24. Bordun D. 23. Chira C. 97. Conrado 96. Debeljuh G. 16. Neicu D. 15. Neicu D. 4. Ne Lopes 80. Paz B. 27. Pedro N. 32. Popescu I. (G) 14. Rus A. 20. Sandu D.	4. Benga A. 98. Ciubancan D. 97. Hrezdac D. 17. Mihai L. 28. Stolnik M. 7. Tolcea A. 96. Tordai A. (G) 2. Tutu M. 30. Van Durmen B.
Coaches
Tomas S.	Mihalcea A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Pospelov D. 🟥,
19', 1 - 0, Ciobanu A. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Coman M. 🟨,
33', Taroi D. ↓, Tutu M. ↑,
33', Odada R. ↓, Benga A. ↑,
38', Kazu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kazu ↓, Conrado ↑,
62', Andrezinho ↓, Paz B. ↑,
63', Bana S. ↓, Bordun D. ↑,
73', Patrick ↓, Debeljuh G. ↑,
77', Ciobanu A. ↓, Pedro N. ↑,
79', Mino S. ↓, Stolnik M. ↑,
79', Iacob F. ↓, Van Durmen B. ↑,
80', Debeljuh G. 🟨,
85', Stolnik M. 🟨,
90+1', Abdallah H. 🟨,
90+3', Alomerovic D. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oţelul won 1.

Oţelul has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UTA Arad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, UTA Arad has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in UTA Arad: Gojkovic L. (Knee Injury) Matei A. (Knee Injury) Tzionis M. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oţelul won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oţelul won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	UTA Arad	13	5	3	5	16:17	-1	18
14	Otelul	13	2	5	6	15:21	-6	11

Outrights of Romanian SuperLiga for now

Otelul: 0.63%

Last Results with these Odds

UTA Arad - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.51%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oţelul Galaţi
Romanian SuperLiga
11.04.26	FCSB - Oţelul Galaţi	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Hermannstadt	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Unirea Slobozia - Oţelul Galaţi	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- UTA Arad
Romanian SuperLiga
11.04.26	UTA Arad - Botoșani	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	UTA Arad - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	UTA Arad - Dumbrăviţa	2:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
20.03.26	FCSB - UTA Arad	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	UTA Arad - Hermannstadt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
20.02.26	Oţelul Galaţi - UTA Arad	2:2
19.10.25	UTA Arad - Oţelul Galaţi	0:4
16.03.25	UTA Arad - Oţelul Galaţi	2:0
14.12.24	Oţelul Galaţi - UTA Arad	1:1
10.08.24	UTA Arad - Oţelul Galaţi	1:1
25.04.24	UTA Arad - Oţelul Galaţi	3:1
13.11.23	UTA Arad - Oţelul Galaţi	2:4

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