Match Info

GREECE: GAMMA ETHNIKI - GROUP 3 - ROUND 16

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	PAO Varda		Ellas Syros

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.66	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.24)	3.66 ↑ (3.3)	3.77 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAO Varda
49.6%

Draw
25.6%

Ellas Syros
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAO Varda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PAO Varda's performance.

Ellas Syros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ellas Syros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAO Varda than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAO Varda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ellas Syros than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ellas Syros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Relegation Play~offs (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ellas Syros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

PAO Varda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAO Varda
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
17.12.23	Vyzas - PAO Varda	2:4 ✺
10.12.23	PAO Varda - Marko	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	PAO Varda - Kyanos Asteras Vari	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	PAO Varda - Panelefsiniakos	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	PAO Varda - Pyliou	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLLWW
- APO Ellas Syros
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
17.12.23	Ellas Syros - Rodos	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Ellas Syros - Ermionida	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Ellas Syros - Erani Filiatra	4:0 ✺
05.11.23	Korinthos - Ellas Syros	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Ellas Syros - Thyella Rafina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APO Ellas Syros
Greek Super League 2
11.10.26	Ellas Syros - Niki Volos	✺

PAO Varda - Ellas Syros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide