Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Winners stage

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Kimpisen stadion (Lappeenranta)


	PEPO Lappeenranta		Grankulla IFK

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.9	2.87
	1.92	4.25	3.05
	1.93	4.48	2.94
	1.44	4.97	5.24	Watch
	1.94	4.08	3.25
	1.92	4.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)	4.3 ↑ (4.15)	3.4 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
50.7%

Draw
21.8%

Grankulla IFK
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

22.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

21.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Grankulla IFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PEPO (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - GrIFK (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PEPO (votes: 1 - 50%). GrIFK (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sorsa J. (C) 10. Enbuska J. 25. Jappinen J. 29. Junnikkala A. 22. Kotanen A. 4. Maijanen V. 33. Oinonen O. 8. Olives T. 7. Salminen M. 16. Suoraniemi S. 6. Turppo O.	1. Prevedouros C. (G) 15. Aethe A. 2. Andersson A. 25. Bela V. 26. Bergman J. 7. Deen T. 28. Gela X. 13. Hellsten H. 4. Kouyate B. (C) 3. Makela V. 8. Rubensson V.
Substitutes
15. Erguner E. 13. Hinkkanen J. 19. Koistinen M. 12. Kuitto M. (G) 26. Pesonen P. 17. Rots S. 11. Sikanen E.	9. Leivo J. 10. Ndongala J. 27. Norhomaa N. 14. Rekola B. 24. Rossi N. 12. Sauramaa M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Junnikkala A. ⚽,
25', Kouyate B. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Salminen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Olives T. ↓, Sikanen E. ↑,
46', Enbuska J. ↓, Pesonen P. ↑,
46', Aethe A. ↓, Norhomaa N. ↑,
46', Kouyate B. ↓, Ndongala J. ↑,
61', Hellsten H. 🟨,
65', Deen T. ↓, Leivo J. ↑,
65', Norhomaa N. ↓, Rekola B. ↑,
69', Sikanen E. 🟨,
77', Suoraniemi S. ↓, Koistinen M. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Pesonen P. ⚽,
82', Oinonen O. ↓, Erguner E. ↑,
83', Andersson A. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
88', Maijanen V. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Rubensson V. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, PEPO has had a series of away games.

PEPO might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PEPO won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, PEPO won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.09.25	MYPA - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:6 ✺
30.08.25	VJS Vantaa - PEPO Lappeenranta	7:0 ✺
16.08.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - JPS	7:0 ✺
09.08.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - PEPO Lappeenranta	4:0 ✺
04.08.25	VJS Vantaa - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLL
- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
03.09.25	Grankulla IFK - VJS Vantaa	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Honka - Grankulla IFK	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Honka - Grankulla IFK	7:0 ✺
10.08.25	Grankulla IFK - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Grankulla IFK - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
27.06.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	2:1
19.04.25	Grankulla IFK - PEPO Lappeenranta	4:1
01.09.24	Grankulla IFK - PEPO Lappeenranta	5:0
19.06.24	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	0:1
13.04.24	Grankulla IFK - PEPO Lappeenranta	2:1

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