Match Info

Liga 1 - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Maguwoharjo Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	PSS Sleman		Persija Jakarta

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.5	3.3
	1.99	3.45	3.2	Watch
	1.96	3.61	3.78
	2.05	3.55	3.37	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.02	3.45	3.18	Watch
	1.99	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.46)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	3.26 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSS Sleman
45.4%

Draw
26.4%

Persija Jakarta
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSS Sleman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSS Sleman's performance.

Persija Jakarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persija Jakarta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSS Sleman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persija Jakarta than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persija Jakarta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

PSS Sleman - Persija Jakarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alan (G) 5. Alhawari S. 4. Cleberson (C) 8. Betinho 96. Lestaluhu A. 77. Sitanggang P. 76. Dion D. 20. Simanjuntak R. 24. Cardoso N. 7. Marcelo Cirino 11. Gustavo Tocantins	1. Carlos Eduardo (G) 77. Pamungkas D. 23. Yama H. 5. Ridho R. (C) 55. Pablo Andrade 19. Sjahbandi H. 10. Gajos M. 58. Hannan R. 78. Witan 7. Matsumura R. 70. Gustavo
Substitutes
69. Bimazawawi M. 9. Caraka H. 87. Figo A. 33. Hamisi W. 55. Hariono J. 23. Kurniawan K. 72. Mutzi C. 78. Nanda I. 25. Oktavana G. 36. Rivan Satria Hutama R. 31. Romadhona S. (G) 16. Zidan A.	26. Ardhiyasa A. (G) 33. Arjunsyah A. 32. Azka F. 6. Bueno R. 15. Cahyana R. 2. Fahmi R. 24. Fandi R. 66. Gholy Z. 69. Munawar Y. 9. Simic M. 36. Warman A.
Coaches
Huistra P.	Nelson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Gustavo Tocantins (Pen),
25', 1 - 1, Pablo Andrade ⚽, Witan (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Witan 🟨,
60', Sitanggang P. ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
60', Cardoso N. ↓, Hariono J. ↑,
66', Pamungkas D. ↓, Fahmi R. ↑,
68', Caraka H. 🟨,
77', Gajos M. 🟨,
81', Gustavo 🟨,
90+16', 2 - 1, Marcelo Cirino ⚽, Simanjuntak R. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sleman won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sleman may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sleman will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sleman won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sleman won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
09.05.25	PSIS Semarang - PSS Sleman	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	PSS Sleman - PSM Makassar	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Persib Bandung - PSS Sleman	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	PSS Sleman - Dewa United	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - PSS Sleman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLL
- Persija Jakarta
Indonesian Super League
10.05.25	Persija Jakarta - Bali United Pusam	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persija Jakarta	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Persija Jakarta - Semen Padang	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Persik Kediri - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Persija Jakarta - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
21.12.24	Persija Jakarta - PSS Sleman	3:1
16.12.23	Persija Jakarta - PSS Sleman	1:0
04.08.23	PSS Sleman - Persija Jakarta	1:3
15.04.23	Persija Jakarta - PSS Sleman	5:0
23.12.22	PSS Sleman - Persija Jakarta	0:2
31.03.22	Persija Jakarta - PSS Sleman	0:2
05.09.21	PSS Sleman - Persija Jakarta	1:1

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