Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Maguwoharjo Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSS Sleman		Persipura Jayapura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.26	3.12	3.09	Watch
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.24	3.02	3.09
	2.2	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	3.06 ↓ (3.28)	3 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSS Sleman
40.4%

Draw
29.5%

Persipura Jayapura
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSS Sleman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Persipura Jayapura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persipura Jayapura than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

PSS Sleman - Persipura Jayapura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Rizky E. (G) 19. Aryanto F. (C) 77. Dennis F. 76. Dion D. 6. Gomes K. 11. Gustavo Tocantins 93. Injai F. 27. Kanu M. 3. Lucao 28. Puhiri T. 25. Simanjuntak R.	36. Al Hakim A. (G) 3. Artur 16. Dusay A. 10. Lugo W. 33. Mandowen G. 26. Merauje M. 44. Ragil B. 23. Rumakiek R. 7. Salampessy R. 14. Sanadi R. 86. Solossa B. (C)
Substitutes
8. Alfareza A. 16. Alfarid S. 17. Djoge S. 71. Fahri M. (G) 5. Fathurahman I. 22. Haqi J. 23. Kurniawan K. 88. Mofu I. 73. Mulyana J. 72. Mutzi C. 15. Pahlevi J. 18. Pratama I.	6. Amohoso Y. 19. Kamuru A. 5. Kansai S. 22. Madjar M. 88. Mansaray V. 8. Osas Saha 21. Pae Y. 17. Pahabol F. 29. Reimas S. (G) 82. Sroyer J. 11. Todd Ferre 43. Uopmabin F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Gustavo Tocantins 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 0, Gustavo Tocantins ⚽, Gomes K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kanu M. ↓, Alfareza A. ↑,
46', Dennis F. ↓, Djoge S. ↑,
46', Mandowen G. ↓, Sroyer J. ↑,
46', Salampessy R. ↓, Madjar M. ↑,
46', Solossa B. ↓, Mansaray V. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Alfareza A. ⚽,
71', Ragil B. ↓, Pahabol F. ↑,
75', Gustavo Tocantins ↓, Mofu I. ↑,
83', Lugo W. ↓, Osas Saha ↑,
90+1', Puhiri T. ↓, Haqi J. ↑,
90+3', Merauje M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sleman won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Sleman has had a series of home games.

Sleman will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sleman won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sleman won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

PSS Sleman - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.23%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Championship
14.02.26	PSS Sleman - Deltras Sidoarjo	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	PSS Sleman - Barito Putera	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Persipura Jayapura - PSS Sleman	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	PSS Sleman - Persela Lamongan	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	PSS Sleman - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTTW
- Persipura Jayapura
Indonesian Championship
15.02.26	Persipura Jayapura - Barito Putera	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - Persipura Jayapura	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Persipura Jayapura - PSS Sleman	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barito Putera - Persipura Jayapura	1:1 ✺
12.01.26	Persiba Balikpapan - Persipura Jayapura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
24.01.26	Persipura Jayapura - PSS Sleman	1:1
01.11.25	PSS Sleman - Persipura Jayapura	0:0
Indonesian Super League
20.03.22	Persipura Jayapura - PSS Sleman	4:2
07.12.21	PSS Sleman - Persipura Jayapura	1:1
19.09.19	PSS Sleman - Persipura Jayapura	1:1
31.05.19	Persipura Jayapura - PSS Sleman	1:1

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