Match Info

Champions League Women - Qualification - Third stage - Final

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: De Herdgang (Eindhoven)

Referee: Campos C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	PSV Eindhoven		HB Køge

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.40	3.30
	2	3.35	3.25
	2.03	3.74	3.44
	2.01	3.64	3.17	Watch
	2.01	3.45	3.25
	1.91	3.64	3.54
	1.98	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.59)	3.5 ↓ (4.2)	3.31 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
46.1%

Draw
26.2%

HB Køge
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

21.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

24%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HB Køge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HB Køge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

PSV Eindhoven - HB Køge Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Evrard N. (G) 2. Thrige S. 3. Hendriks G. 19. Cayman J. (C) 5. Bross M. 6. Lacroix R. 30. Renfurm R. 17. Jacobs L. 11. Hickelsberger-Fuller J. 10. Ripa C. 18. Rijsbergen L.	1. Vingum A. (G) 3. Schultz M. 2. Uhre M. 28. Boye S. 19. Markvardsen S. 17. Madsen R. 33. Jereko M. 23. Gejl M. (C) 11. Korhonen C. 7. Carusa K. 9. Nadim N.
Substitutes
31. Akkermans K. (G) 16. Alkemade L. (G) 20. Altena A. 23. Chibani A. 46. Fischer E. 8. Folkertsma S. 25. Frijns E. 7. Marfo P. 4. Rutgers M. 43. Schippers B. 37. Selderbeek A. 21. van de Sanden S.	25. Callesen A. 32. Flick E. 77. Gutowska J. 24. Hermann L. M. 66. Kozal L. (G) 22. Oskarsdottir E. 4. Sakabe Y. 27. Termansen A. 12. Thygesen S. 8. Wendicke M. 14. Williams S. 88. Witek Z.
Coaches
Kurland K.	Rasmussen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Carusa K. ⚽, Madsen R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Jacobs L. 🟨,
62', Hickelsberger-Fuller J. ↓, Marfo P. ↑,
62', Lacroix R. ↓, Folkertsma S. ↑,
69', Korhonen C. ↓, Thygesen S. ↑,
77', Ripa C. ↓, Altena A. ↑,
80', Gejl M. 🟨,
81', Nadim N. ↓, Witek Z. ↑,
81', Gejl M. ↓, Hermann L. M. ↑,
83', Bross M. ↓, Frijns E. ↑,
83', Jacobs L. ↓, van de Sanden S. ↑,
90+2', Madsen R. ↓, Oskarsdottir E. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

PSV is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Køge is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

PSV could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Koge W: 0.28%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Koge W	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
22.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	SFK 2000 - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
Dutch Super Cup Women
31.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
23.07.26	Wolfsburg - PSV Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWL
- HB Køge Women
Danish A-Liga Women
19.08.26	Brøndby - HB Køge	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	HB Køge - Odense Q	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	HB Køge - Riga	4:1 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
01.08.26	HB Køge - ASA Aarhus	4:0 ✺
28.07.26	Copenhagen - HB Køge	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

PSV Eindhoven - HB Køge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide