Match Info

Steiermark - Round 26

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Pachern		Tillmitsch

	1	X	2
	6.72	5.4	1.25
	7.23	5.4	1.3	Watch
	8.55	5.6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.5 ↑ (5.84)	5.47 ↑ (5.11)	1.26 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachern
12%

Draw
16.5%

Tillmitsch
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

17.9%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

17.5%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Tillmitsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tillmitsch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachern than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tillmitsch than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Pachern - Tillmitsch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Pachern has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tillmitsch is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Tillmitsch is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pachern won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Pachern won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Pachern	9	4	1	4	10:15	-5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Pachern
Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
05.05.26	Fehring - Pachern	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Pachern - SV Wildon	0:5 ✺
24.04.26	Leoben - Pachern	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Pachern - Mochart Köflach	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Union Gnas - Pachern	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW
- SV Tillmitsch
Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
05.05.26	Tillmitsch - Hartberg II	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Weinland Gamlitz - Tillmitsch	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Tillmitsch - Ilzer	4:2 ✺
17.04.26	Tillmitsch - Fehring	5:1 ✺
10.04.26	SV Wildon - Tillmitsch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
11.10.25	Tillmitsch - Pachern	3:0
Club Friendly
02.02.24	Pachern - Tillmitsch	3:3

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