Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Paderborn II		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.95	1.55
	5.4	4.09	1.54
	5.28	4.12	1.53
	5	3.7	1.53
	5.87	3.92	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (4.37)	3.96 ↑ (3.54)	1.53 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn II
17%

Draw
23.1%

Fortuna Köln
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

25.1%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paderborn II - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Ermolaev G. ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Ermolaev G. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 1, Strauch G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Fortuna Köln is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn II won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Paderborn II	11	3	4	4	19:22	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
24.04.26	Bonner - Paderborn II	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gütersloh - Paderborn II	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Paderborn II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	3:0 ✺
24.03.26	Paderborn II - Schalke 04 II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTWT
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
25.04.26	Fortuna Köln - Wiedenbrück	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fortuna Köln - Schalke 04 II	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
09.11.25	Fortuna Köln - Paderborn II	0:0
19.04.25	Paderborn II - Fortuna Köln	0:0
26.10.24	Fortuna Köln - Paderborn II	1:3
04.02.24	Fortuna Köln - Paderborn II	0:0
13.08.23	Paderborn II - Fortuna Köln	1:2

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