The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paganese 60.9%
Draw 21.6%
Real Normanna 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25.8%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.5%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paganese's performance.
Real Normanna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Normanna than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Paganese - Real Normanna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, Faiello G. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Favetta C. ⚽,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this matchup, Paganese is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Paganese has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Paganese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
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