Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Paganese		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.6
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	1.96	3.2	3.5
	2.06	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.15	3.22	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.45 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
44.6%

Draw
28.9%

Vibonese
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

21.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paganese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-5%)

Paganese - Vibonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Paganese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vibonese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
26.09.21	Bari - Paganese	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Paganese - Taranto	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Paganese - Catania	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Latina - Paganese	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Paganese - ACR Messina	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWLT
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
26.09.21	Vibonese - Turris	1:4 ✺
19.09.21	Fidelis Andria - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Vibonese - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
05.09.21	Virtus Francavilla - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
29.08.21	Vibonese - Picerno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.21	Paganese - Vibonese	2:1
17.10.20	Vibonese - Paganese	5:2
07.03.20	Vibonese - Paganese	1:1
23.10.19	Paganese - Vibonese	2:2
31.03.19	Vibonese - Paganese	0:0
02.12.18	Paganese - Vibonese	1:1
15.04.17	Paganese - Vibonese	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
01.11.26	Vibonese - Milazzo	✺

Paganese - Vibonese