Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Paiosaco		Rápido de Bouzas

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.25	2.73	2.29
	3.25	2.73	2.29
	3.14	2.97	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.12)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	2.28 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paiosaco
28.5%

Draw
32.1%

Rápido de Bouzas
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paiosaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paiosaco's form might have worsened.

Rápido de Bouzas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rápido de Bouzas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paiosaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rápido de Bouzas than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rápido de Bouzas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Paiosaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paiosaco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Paiosaco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.10.23	Paiosaco - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Betanzos - Paiosaco	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Paiosaco - Atlético Arteixo	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Silva SD - Paiosaco	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Paiosaco - Somozas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TWTWL
- Rápido de Bouzas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Viveiro - Rápido de Bouzas	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Somozas - Rápido de Bouzas	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Alondras	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	UD Ourense - Rápido de Bouzas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.02.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Paiosaco	1:0
16.10.22	Paiosaco - Rápido de Bouzas	0:1

Paiosaco - Rápido de Bouzas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide