Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 27

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Paks II		Siofok

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.5	2.52
	2.32	3.55	2.5
	2.36	3.57	2.57	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2	3.58	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)	3.49 ↓ (3.59)	2.66 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paks II
40%

Draw
25.9%

Siofok
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

24.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paks II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paks II's form might have worsened.

Siofok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paks II than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paks II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siofok than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siofok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paks II - Siofok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paks II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paks II has had a series of home games.

Paks II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paks II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Siofok	9	4	2	3	16:11	5	14
13	Paks II	10	1	3	6	19:23	-4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paks II
Hungarian NB III Southwest
19.04.26	Paks II - Nagykanizsa	0:5 ✺
05.04.26	Paks II - PTE-PEAC	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Dombóvári - Paks II	0:4 ✺
22.03.26	Paks II - Érdi VSE	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Paks II - MTK Budapest II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWLW
- BFC Siofok
Hungarian NB III Southwest
26.04.26	Siofok - Pénzügyőr	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ferencváros II - Siofok	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Pecsi - Siofok	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Majosi - Siofok	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Siofok - Kaposvari Rakoczi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southwest
19.10.25	Siofok - Paks II	2:1
20.04.25	Siofok - Paks II	1:1

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