Match Info

NB I. - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paksi SE		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.1	1.73
	4.50	4.10	1.60
	3.8	3.95	1.72
	3.95	4.32	1.79
	4.55	4.35	1.63	Watch
	3.85	4.25	1.74
	4.14	4.14	1.7
	3.75	3.95	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.17)	4.15 ↓ (4.21)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
23%

Draw
22.5%

Ferencvárosi
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

22.1%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Paks (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ferencvárosi (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 50%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 6. Gyorfi M. 5. Vecsei B. 12. Vas G. 26. Szekszardi M. 20. Zeke M. 21. Papp K. 19. Horvath K. 17. Peto M. 7. Szalai J. 10. Haraszti Z. (C)	1. Varga A. (G) 54. Nagy O. 21. Botka E. (C) 5. Zohore N. 47. O'Dowda C. 17. Corbu M. 36. Kanichowsky G. 30. Gruber Z. 76. Lisztes K. 74. Szabo S. 19. Kovacevic F.
Substitutes
8. Balogh B. 13. Bode D. 28. Gyetvan M. (G) 18. Gyurkits G. 9. Hahn J. 11. Kuzma H. 4. Lapu A. 24. Lenzser B. 22. Windecker J.	7. Acolatse E. 18. Bagi A. 20. Cadu 11. Dele 90. Dibusz D. (G) 4. Gomez M. 10. Levi J. 14. Osvath A. 28. Raemaekers T. 88. Rommens P. 70. Sevikyan E. 16. Zachariassen K.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Borbely B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', Kovacevic F. ↓, Dele ↑,
13', Papp K. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Dele ⚽, Nagy O. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Peto M. ⚽, Szalai J. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Botka E. ⚽, Gruber Z. (A),
41', 2 - 2, Szalai J. ⚽, Haraszti Z. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Corbu M. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
55', 3 - 2, ⚽,
56', Szabo S. ↓, Acolatse E. ↑,
56', Gruber Z. ↓, Bagi A. ↑,
59', 4 - 2, ⚽,
62', Haraszti Z. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
68', Szalai J. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
69', Botka E. ↓, Rommens P. ↑,
75', Horvath K. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
75', Peto M. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
76', Windecker J. 🟨,
90+3', Gyorfi M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 1.

Recent performances by Paks have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferencvárosi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ferencvárosi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferencvárosi is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 31:43. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ferencvaros	7	3	3	1	11:8	3	12
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Ferencvárosi - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.5%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Paksi SE - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Austria Wien - Paksi SE	4:1 ✺
16.07.26	Paksi SE - Slaven Belupo	5:3 ✺
11.07.26	Paksi SE - Kozármisleny	0:3 ✺
04.07.26	Osijek - Paksi SE	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa League
23.07.26	Twente - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Ferencvárosi - Vojvodina	3:0 ✺
09.07.26	Vojvodina - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ferencvárosi - Sabah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
26.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	2:0
01.02.26	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	0:1
05.10.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	2:2
Hungarian Cup
14.05.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	1:2 penalties
Hungarian NB I
10.05.25	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	2:3
16.02.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	0:2
06.10.24	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	3:1

Upcoming Matches