Match Info

Primera Division Women - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Palestino		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	2.95
	2.01	3.65	3.05
	2.04	3.71	3.08
	2	3.89	3.03	Watch
	1.97	3.82	3.03
	2.01	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.22)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	3.03 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
45.4%

Draw
24.6%

Santiago Morning
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Palestino - Santiago Morning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Padron R. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Brito A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division Women (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Santiago Morning has had a series of home games.

Palestino could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Palestino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Women
Chilean Primera Division Women
03.05.25	Coquimbo Unido - Palestino	0:0 ✺
28.04.25	Palestino - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
23.04.25	Palestino - Deportes Iquique	2:5 ✺
19.04.25	Unión Española - Palestino	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLLT
- Santiago Morning Women
Chilean Primera Division Women
04.05.25	Santiago Morning - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
30.04.25	Santiago Morning - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Santiago Morning - Unión Española	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Santiago Wanderers - Santiago Morning	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division Women
04.08.24	Palestino - Santiago Morning	1:2
20.04.24	Santiago Morning - Palestino	5:0

Palestino - Santiago Morning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide