Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Nubank Parque (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Palmeiras		Bahia

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.25
	1.3	4.6	7.2
	1.32	4.96	8.62
	1.34	4.81	8.63	Watch
	1.28	4.65	8.45
	1.26	5.05	9.1
	1.32	4.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	4.8 ↑ (4.7)	8.09 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
69.8%

Draw
19%

Bahia
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

18.7%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Palmeiras - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tapia K. (G) 17. Antonia 10. Bia Zaneratto (C) 7. Brena Carolina 16. Emily Assis 9. Glaucia 2. Guzman A. 5. Ingryd 13. Pati Maldaner 34. Raissa Bahia 11. Taina Maranhao	12. Yanne (G) 3. Aila (C) 28. Cassia 5. Gomez A. 96. Ju Oliveira 13. Mila Santos 27. Raquel 17. Roqueline 7. Rosa W. 77. Suelen 64. Tchula
Substitutes
30. Ana Guimaraes 20. Andressinha 33. Benitez L. 37. Chirinos Iscala M. A. 12. Duda 6. Fe Palermo 4. Giovanna Campiolo 24. Landazury G. 22. Natascha (G) 3. Poliana 42. Ravena (G) 77. Rhayanna	6. Ana Julia 2. Dan 71. Eduarda Tosti 9. Gica 88. Helo 22. Isa Cruz (G) 97. Isa Fernandes 80. Mary Camilo (G) 10. Sena Taty 70. Terra M. 18. Vilma

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Ju Oliveira 🟨,
17', Brena Carolina 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Raissa Bahia ⚽,
40', Suelen 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Suelen ↓, Isa Fernandes ↑,
46', Ju Oliveira ↓, Dan ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Dan ⚽,
60', Bia Zaneratto 🟨,
61', Antonia ↓, Poliana ↑,
71', Glaucia ↓, Andressinha ↑,
71', Ingryd ↓, Benitez L. ↑,
71', Roqueline ↓, Sena Taty ↑,
75', Aila ↓, Vilma ↑,
78', Vilma 🟨,
81', Raquel ↓, Gica ↑,
86', Guzman A. ↓, Rhayanna ↑,
86', Emily Assis ↓, Fe Palermo ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Bia Zaneratto (Penalty Awarded),
1, Gica (Penalty Awarded),
2, Poliana (Penalty Awarded),
2, Isa Fernandes (Penalty Awarded),
3, Taina Maranhao (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sena Taty (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fe Palermo (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rosa W. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Pati Maldaner (Penalty Awarded),
5, Cassia (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bahia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras Women
Brasileiro Women
31.08.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
26.08.26	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	Cruzeiro - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Palmeiras - Juventude	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
11.08.26	Taubaté - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWTWW
- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
31.08.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Juventude - Bahia	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Bahia - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	0:3 ✺
02.08.26	Ferroviária - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
31.08.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:1
02.05.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	0:0
20.04.25	Palmeiras - Bahia	3:1
17.03.23	Palmeiras - Bahia	3:0
23.05.21	Palmeiras - Bahia	1:0

Palmeiras - Bahia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide