Match Info

Paulista Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)


	Palmeiras		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.9	5.7
	1.43	4.09	5.56
	1.46	4.16	5.91	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.4	4.05	7.11
	1.47	4.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.04 ↑ (3.84)	6.01 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
62.6%

Draw
22.4%

Ferroviária
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Palmeiras - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tapia K. (G) 9. Amanda Gutierres 20. Andressinha (C) 21. Carla Tays 8. Diany Martins 5. Ingryd Lima 13. Pati Maldaner 3. Poliana 34. Raissa Bahia 77. Rhayanna 30. Soll	1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira 20. Camila 7. Duda 25. Fatima Dutra 2. Kati 11. Mariana Santos 5. Nicoly (C) 18. Rafa Soares 22. Raquel 30. Sissi
Substitutes
39. Anny Maraba 7. Brena Carolina 16. Emily Assis 99. Espinales J. 4. Giovanna Campiolo 32. Guzman A. 17. Isadora Amaral 24. Landazury G. 42. Ravena (G) 10. Rincon Y. 75. Taina (G) 29. Taina Maranhao	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 6. Barrinha 15. Cris 21. Duda Freitas 26. Fer 13. Grazy 17. Julia Beatriz 10. Micaelly 3. Monique 16. Mylena Carioca 99. Nenem 9. Vendito

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Kati 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Poliana ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Mariana Santos ⚽,
45+2', Rhayanna 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Raissa Bahia ↓, Landazury G. ↑,
66', Mariana Santos ↓, Julia Beatriz ↑,
67', Raquel ↓, Vendito ↑,
68', Diany Martins ↓, Brena Carolina ↑,
69', Soll ↓, Taina Maranhao ↑,
77', Kati ↓, Mylena Carioca ↑,
83', Andressinha ↓, Espinales J. ↑,
83', Rhayanna ↓, Guzman A. ↑,
84', Fatima Dutra ↓, Nenem ↑,
84', Nicoly ↓, Monique ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.

Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferroviária's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.

We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
23.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
20.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
16.11.25	Palmeiras - Taubaté	5:0 ✺
13.11.25	Santos - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
10.11.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTT
- Ferroviária Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
23.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
20.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
16.11.25	São Paulo - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
13.11.25	Ferroviária - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista Women
23.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:2
Copa do Brasil Women
20.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:4
Brazilian Paulista Women
22.09.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	1:3
14.05.25	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:0
Brasileiro Women
26.04.25	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:2
Brazilian Paulista Women
09.11.24	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	2:1
02.11.24	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	1:1

Palmeiras - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide