Match Info

Brasil Ladies Cup Women - Semi-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports


	Palmeiras		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.16	5.78	14.4
	1.18	6.14	13.20	Watch
	1.14	7.97	12.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.69)	6.63 ↑ (3.75)	13.5 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
79.3%

Draw
13.9%

Gimnasia La Plata
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

23%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palmeiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Palmeiras - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Taina (G) 9. Amanda Gutierres 20. Andressinha 7. Brena Carolina 99. Espinales J. 6. Fe Palermo 4. Giovanna Campiolo 26. Lais Estevam 3. Poliana (C) 77. Rhayanna 29. Taina Maranhao	31. Olivera S. (G) 16. Adorno M. 6. Aguilera A. (C) 2. Aste L. 36. Coronel A. 10. Esquivel L. 30. Gaetan F. 28. Gonzalez M. 19. Lopez S. 4. Luduena B. 29. Oszczyk A.
Substitutes
8. Diany Martins 16. Emily Assis 32. Guzman A. 5. Ingryd Lima 17. Isadora Amaral 19. Lais Melo 24. Landazury G. 13. Pati Maldaner 10. Rincon Y. 30. Soll 25. Tapia K. (G)	7. Casas P. 12. Cima A. 15. Curril F. 27. Ferreyra K. 14. Jara H. 13. Moyano J. 5. Oliver M. 23. Tevez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Gaetan F. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Fe Palermo ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Brena Carolina ⚽,
37', Giovanna Campiolo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Andressinha ↓, Lais Melo ↑,
46', Giovanna Campiolo ↓, Rincon Y. ↑,
56', Luduena B. ↓, Casas P. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Esquivel L. ⚽,
65', Adorno M. 🟨,
74', Lais Estevam ↓, Guzman A. ↑,
74', Fe Palermo ↓, Emily Assis ↑,
85', Espinales J. 🟨,
86', Espinales J. ↓, Ingryd Lima ↑,
90+6', Gonzalez M. ↓, Oliver M. ↑,
90+6', Gaetan F. ↓, Curril F. ↑,
90+6', Lopez S. ↓, Moyano J. ↑,
90+8', Oszczyk A. 🟨,
90+9', Oszczyk A. 🟨,
Penalties (7 - 6)
1, Olivera S. (Pen),
1, Brena Carolina (Pen),
2, Moyano J. (Pen),
2, Poliana (Pen),
3, Adorno M. (Pen),
3, Taina Maranhao (Pen),
4, Curril F. (Pen),
4, Rhayanna (Pen),
5, Oliver M. (Pen),
5, Amanda Gutierres (Pen),
6, Esquivel L. (Pen),
6, Ingryd Lima (Pen),
7, Aguilera A. (Pen),
7, Emily Assis (Pen),
8, Aste L. (Pen),
8, Guzman A. (Pen),
9, Coronel A. (Pen),
9, Rincon Y. (Pen),

Preview

Palmeiras has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Palmeiras is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
28.09.25	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
25.09.25	Palmeiras - Sport Recife	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
22.09.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
17.09.25	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
04.09.25	Palmeiras - Realidade Jovem	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Gimnasia La Plata Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
21.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Banfield	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Racing - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTTW

Palmeiras - Gimnasia La Plata: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide