Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 7

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: CCM Kirumba Stadium (Mwanza) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1


	Pamba		Geita Gold

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.10	3.50
	1.78	3.1	4.2
	1.79	3.11	4.27
	2.06	3.26	3.39	Watch
	1.9	3.34	3.91
	2.01	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)	3.16 ↑ (2.95)	3.78 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamba
47.3%

Draw
28.7%

Geita Gold
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pamba's performance.

Geita Gold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geita Gold might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geita Gold than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Pamba - Geita Gold Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Richard D. (G) 3. Abraham I. 43. Bausi A. 12. Kadikilo A. 54. Lutonja H. 11. Mafie D. 30. Mayombya Z. 26. Ochieng J. 4. Okorocha N. 20. Oyugi Siwa S. 32. T. Lanso	48. Frank F. (G) 28. Ali A. 26. Hamis O. 13. Kulandana A. 12. Makasi K. 31. Mhilu Y. V. 17. Mkele J. 20. Muhenga T. 15. Nassib M. 9. Shaban M. 14. Tebandeke C.
Substitutes
22. Chambela K. . Diamonde . Kibailo 36. Kibailo H. 40. Kundo F. . Munis 10. Nahimana S. . Nakibinge 17. Nakibinge J. 14. Yonta Camara A. . Yunis	33. Kassim M. I. 56. Kuzoza I. 29. Manyakenda P. 5. Mohamed H. 50. Mwakyusa E. (G) 18. Nakapi I. (G) 39. Ngoye F. . Ramadhan . Shakur A. . Vicent

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Msabila H. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Mafie D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Mayombya Z. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Diomande I. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 9th).

Pamba is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Geita Gold has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Geita Gold has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Geita Gold	9	2	2	5	10:16	-6	8
14	Pamba	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
13.09.26	Pamba - TRA United	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	JKT Tanzania - Pamba	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Young Africans - Pamba	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Pamba - Simba	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Pamba - Dodoma Jiji	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Geita Gold FC
Tanzanian Premier League
15.09.26	Young Africans - Geita Gold	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Simba - Geita Gold	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Geita Gold - Azam	2:2 ✺
18.08.26	Namungo - Geita Gold	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Mbeya City - Geita Gold	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTLW

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