Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Panadería Pulido		Arcángel San Miguel

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.15	7.1
	1.4	4	8
	1.4	3.8	8.5
	1.36	3.95	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)	3.98 ↑ (3.64)	8.1 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panadería Pulido
65.8%

Draw
22.9%

Arcángel San Miguel
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panadería Pulido's performance.

Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Panadería Pulido - Arcángel San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Panadería has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Miguel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Panadería is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Panadería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Panadería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	San Miguel	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
8	Panaderia	4	2	1	1	10:8	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Panadería Pulido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
21.12.25	Atlético Paso - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Real Unión - Panadería Pulido	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Panadería Pulido - Tamaraceite	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Herbania - Panadería Pulido	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Panadería Pulido - Las Palmas C	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWL
- CD Arcángel San Miguel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.12.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Telde	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Tenerife C - Arcángel San Miguel	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Arcángel San Miguel - San Bartolomé	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	UD San Fernando - Arcángel San Miguel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.09.24	Panadería Pulido - Arcángel San Miguel	1:0

Panadería Pulido - Arcángel San Miguel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide