Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 22

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)


	Panevėžys 2		Banga Gargždai 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.33	5
	1.48	4.3	5.2	Watch
	1.45	4.25	5.08
	1.48	4.38	5.47	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.45	4.35	5.61
	1.48	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.82)	4.3 ↑ (3.86)	5.29 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
62%

Draw
21%

Banga Gargždai 2
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

22.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panevėžys 2's performance.

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banga Gargždai 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panevėžys 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banga Gargždai 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Panevėžys 2 - Banga Gargždai 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bukel D. (G) 23. Dzinga E. 9. Jusys A. 97. Karvatskyi A. 14. Kulbis R. 17. Luksys N. 5. Misiunas R. (C) 20. Pusnys M. 16. Sonkevicius K. 4. Trakselis A. 31. Vranjanin M.	12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 16. Bockus V. 29. Griksas J. 53. Juozapavicius J. 14. Kirjanov E. 36. Laurinaitis E. 31. Ruskys L. 11. Smulkys E. (C) 27. Straksys A. 95. Zvaigzdinas M.
Substitutes
30. Dilys M. 2. Gleveckas D. 45. Malatokas M. 29. Muraska G. 11. Slikas A. 12. Usas L.	30. Jurgutis V. 17. Jurjon B. 80. Juska B. 6. Litvinas N. 96. Paksas D. 54. Urbonas N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Banga 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Panevėžys 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Panevėžys 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Panevėžys 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
31.08.24	Panevėžys 2 - Riteriai	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Panevėžys 2	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Panevėžys 2 - Nevėžis	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	4:3 ✺
02.08.24	Panevėžys 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
04.09.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Riteriai	1:3 ✺
09.08.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Banga Gargždai 2	4:0 ✺
03.08.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Nevėžis	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
29.04.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:2
12.09.22	Panevėžys 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	4:2
16.05.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Panevėžys 2	3:2
31.07.21	Panevėžys 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	1:6
14.04.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:0

Panevėžys 2 - Banga Gargždai 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide