Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 4

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Cass & Co Stadium (Paddocks) (Adelaide)


	Para Hills Knights		Sturt Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	4.4	1.6
	3.9	4.25	1.6	Watch
	4.05	5.51	1.54
	3.89	5.48	1.59	Watch
	4	4.33	1.6
	4.01	4.8	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.94)	4.8 ↑ (4.45)	1.58 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Para Hills Knights
22.9%

Draw
19.1%

Sturt Lions
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

20.9%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Para Hills Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Para Hills Knights's form might have worsened.

Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sturt Lions's recent form is better than expected.

Para Hills Knights - Sturt Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturt Lions (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Sturt Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sturt Lions is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Para Hills Knights won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Para Hills Knights won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Para Hills Knights
Australian NPL South Australian
13.03.26	FK Beograd - Para Hills Knights	5:0 ✺
06.03.26	Para Hills Knights - West Torrens Birkalla	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Croydon - Para Hills Knights	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Blue Eagles	0:1 ✺
Australian NPL South Australian
15.08.25	Para Hills Knights - North Eastern MetroStars	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLT
- Sturt Lions
Australian NPL South Australian
14.03.26	Sturt Lions - North Eastern MetroStars	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	4:3 ✺
28.02.26	FK Beograd - Sturt Lions	1:3 ✺
Australian SA State League
13.09.25	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	2:3 ET ✺
06.09.25	Sturt Lions - Salisbury United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.02.21	Sturt Lions - Para Hills Knights	2:3
Australian NPL South Australian
16.06.18	Para Hills Knights - Sturt Lions	4:0
09.03.18	Sturt Lions - Para Hills Knights	1:3

Para Hills Knights - Sturt Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide