Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 24 December 2022, Saturday


	Paradou		Arbaâ

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	4.75
	1.67	3.15	5.1
	1.71	3.25	4.6
	1.72	3.4	5.49
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.67	3.48	4.7
	1.74	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	4.92 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paradou
53.7%

Draw
27.8%

Arbaâ
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paradou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Arbaâ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbaâ than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.8%	10.3%	17.9%

Paradou - Arbaâ Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Paradou will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). Arbaâ will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paradou: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Arbaâ have a series of home games.

In this match Paradou is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paradou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Paradou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paradou AC
Algerian Cup
20.12.22	Paradou - WA Mostaganem	3:2 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
11.12.22	Biskra - Paradou	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Paradou - Saoura	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Kabylie - Paradou	2:1 ✺
29.11.22	MC Alger - Paradou	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLT
- Arbaâ
Algerian Cup
17.12.22	Arbaâ - ASO Chlef	1:2 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
11.12.22	Arbaâ - Chelghoum	3:1 ✺
07.12.22	Kabylie - Arbaâ	4:0 ✺
29.11.22	Arbaâ - Khenchela	5:1 ✺
05.11.22	Arbaâ - Constantine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
06.05.22	Arbaâ - Paradou	3:1
07.01.22	Paradou - Arbaâ	1:2

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