Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday


	Paradou		Chelghoum

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.55	3.5	5.4
	1.6	3.57	6.28
	1.57	3.4	6
	1.56	3.52	5.75	Watch
	1.59	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	5.82 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paradou
58.4%

Draw
25.9%

Chelghoum
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paradou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Chelghoum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelghoum than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Paradou - Chelghoum Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paradou will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Chelghoum will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paradou: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Paradou is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chelghoum has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paradou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paradou is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paradou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Paradou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paradou AC
Algerian Ligue 1
02.10.22	Paradou - Khenchela	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Paradou - Constantine	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	ASO Chlef - Paradou	1:1 ✺
02.09.22	Paradou - Belouizdad	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Magra - Paradou	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTLW
- HB Chelghoum Laïd
Algerian Ligue 1
08.10.22	El Bayadh - Chelghoum	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Chelghoum - Kabylie	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Khenchela - Chelghoum	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Chelghoum - USM Alger	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Constantine - Chelghoum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
03.06.22	Chelghoum - Paradou	3:0
29.01.22	Paradou - Chelghoum	6:2

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