Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 8

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Durival Britto e Silva (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Maringá

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.15
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.8	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.19	3.13	2.21
	2.92	3.21	2.3	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.45
	3.08	3.13	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.58)	3.13 ↓ (3.33)	2.28 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
31.1%

Draw
29%

Maringá
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Maringá Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. da Silva Santos T. D. (G) 5. Bruno Vinicius 2. Daniel Guedes 7. Diego Tavares (C) 25. Erik Bessa 30. Felix Jorge 36. Joao Lucas 18. Leo Cesar 37. Leo Silva 27. Luiz Gustavo 11. Rikelmi	12. Joao Gabriel (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 3. Carvalho R. 7. Edison Negueba 6. Joao Felix 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller (C) 11. Robertinho 13. Tito 4. Vilar 18. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
31. Cassio 20. Danilo Nazare 14. Diego Ivo 19. Eduardo Tanque 1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 33. Henrique P. 6. Kevin 9. Leandro Pereira 38. Lucas Mazetti 34. Pato 29. Tony Lucas 35. Wallace	2. Cristovam 30. Danielzinho 38. de Oliveira L. G. 26. Gledson 10. Leo Ceara 28. Lucas Bonifacio 9. Matheus Moraes 15. Parrudo 42. Rafael William (G) 21. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ze Vitor 🟨,
43', Erik Bessa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robertinho ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
46', Maranhao ↓, Matheus Moraes ↑,
56', Joao Felix ↓, Gledson ↑,
62', Leo Cesar ↓, Wallace ↑,
62', Erik Bessa ↓, Leandro Pereira ↑,
68', Bruno Cheron ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
69', Bruno Vinicius ↓, Alexandre Pato ↑,
74', Wallace 🟨,
81', Leo Silva ↓, Danilo Nazare ↑,
82', Diego Tavares ↓, Lucas Mazetti ↑,
82', Max Miller ↓, de Oliveira L. G. ↑,
86', Carvalho R. 🟨,
89', de Oliveira L. G. 🟨,
90+3', Edison Negueba 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paraná won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paraná won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Londrina - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:0 ✺
23.01.25	Azuriz - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Andraus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLLT
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.02.25	FC Cascavel - Maringá	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Maringá - Rio Branco PR	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Andraus - Maringá	1:3 ✺
22.01.25	Maringá - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Londrina - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
29.01.22	Maringá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0
21.04.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Maringá	2:2
27.01.19	Maringá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:0
21.03.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Maringá	1:0
10.02.16	Maringá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2
22.02.15	Maringá - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2

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