Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Durival Britto e Silva (Curitiba) 🌤️ ...


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.6
	2.15	2.7	3.55
	2.02	2.75	3.7
	2.22	2.72	3.49
	2.1	2.6	3.7
	2.22	2.83	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.68)	2.73 ↑ (2.43)	3.57 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
41.9%

Draw
33%

Pouso Alegre
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

37.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

38%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paraná Clube Curitiba's performance.

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paraná: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Paraná is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pouso Alegre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pouso Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie D
30.07.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - FC Cascavel	1:0 penalties ✺
23.07.22	FC Cascavel - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:0 ✺
17.07.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Osasco Sporting	0:1 ✺
09.07.22	São Bernardo - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Nova Iguaçu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLTW
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
30.07.22	Pouso Alegre - Operário Ltda	2:0 ✺
24.07.22	Operário Ltda - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Noroeste - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
10.07.22	Pouso Alegre - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	Pouso Alegre - URT	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
01.03.22	Pouso Alegre - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Pouso Alegre