Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Paredes		Bragança

	1	X	2
	1.41	4	6.5
	1.33	4.38	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.93)	4.19 ↑ (3.3)	7.95 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
66.7%

Draw
21.8%

Bragança
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bragança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paredes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bragança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paredes - Bragança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Miguel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Soares A. (Pen),
59', 2 - 1, Kika ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 3).

Recent matches Paredes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bragança is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Paredes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paredes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Paredes - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Os Sandinenses - Paredes	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Paredes - Brito	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Paredes - Limianos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWT
- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
16.02.25	Bragança - Limianos	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Dumiense - Bragança	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Bragança - Atlético dos Arcos	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tirsense - Bragança	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Bragança - Pevidem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.10.24	Bragança - Paredes	1:1

Paredes - Bragança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide