Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Paredes		São Martinho

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.95	4.2
	1.75	2.95	4.6
	1.83	3.05	4.3
	1.93	2.82	5.23
	1.95	2.8	4.2
	1.83	2.91	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.25)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)	4.6 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
49.1%

Draw
31.2%

São Martinho
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

32.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

31.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.

São Martinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Martinho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paredes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Martinho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Paredes - São Martinho Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paredes will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). São Martinho will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paredes: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Paredes is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Paredes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Paredes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.05.22	Marítimo B - Paredes	2:3 ✺
15.05.22	Paredes - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Paredes - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Leça - Paredes	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	São Martinho - Paredes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTLT
- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.05.22	São Martinho - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
14.05.22	Leça - São Martinho	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Vilaverdense - São Martinho	2:3 ✺
01.05.22	São Martinho - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	São Martinho - Paredes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	São Martinho - Paredes	0:0
16.01.22	São Martinho - Paredes	2:3
03.10.21	Paredes - São Martinho	0:1
Taça de Portugal
11.10.20	São Martinho - Paredes	1:2

Paredes - São Martinho