Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 6

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Terribile A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Parma		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.25	1.45
	5.72	4.42	1.49
	4.52	4.21	1.62	Watch
	5.77	4.19	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↑ (4.52)	4.27 ↑ (4.21)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
17.2%

Draw
21.7%

Fiorentina
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

22.1%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.6%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Parma - Fiorentina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ceasar C. (G) 24. Berta Bou 25. Ambrosi C. 73. Cox D. 29. Uffren M. 16. Real K. 46. Benedetti V. 8. Pondini G. 18. Dominguez L. 10. Pinther V. 17. Distefano G.	1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) 20. Orsi B. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 44. Faerge E. 2. Woldvik E. 18. Snerle E. 21. Severini E. 26. Cherubini M. 4. Bonfantini A. 8. Hurtig L. 9. Janogy M.
Substitutes
26. Bertucci S. 11. Cardona M. 23. Cissoko H. 22. Copetti M. (G) 15. Esteve A. 1. Fabiano F. (G) 27. Gueguen M. 5. Kajan Z. 21. Kajzba N. 6. Masu C. 7. Rabot I. 19. Zamanian A.	23. Bettineschi G. (G) 15. Bredgaard S. 24. Cetinja S. (G) 19. DellaPeruta V. 3. Johansen O. 16. Lombardi E. 7. Longo M. 51. Omarsdottir I. 27. Tryggvadottir K. 11. Wijnants S.
Coaches
Valenti G.	Pinones-Arce P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Dominguez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Severini E. (Pen),
56', Snerle E. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Distefano G. ⚽, Dominguez L. (A),
59', Hurtig L. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
66', Cherubini M. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
70', Distefano G. ↓, Kajzba N. ↑,
70', Pinther V. ↓, Kajan Z. ↑,
79', Bonfantini A. ↓, Johansen O. ↑,
86', Van Der Zanden I. 🟨,
90+1', Kajan Z. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

Parma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fiorentina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fiorentina is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Parma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Parma Women
Italian Serie A Women
09.11.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Inter Milan - Parma	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Parma - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Roma - Parma	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTTWL
- Fiorentina Women FC
Italian Serie A Women
07.11.25	Fiorentina - Roma	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Fiorentina - Milan	4:3 ✺
11.10.25	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Napoli - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
10.12.22	Parma - Fiorentina	0:4
18.09.22	Fiorentina - Parma	2:1

Parma - Fiorentina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide