The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Partick Thistle 52.8%
Draw 22.5%
Montrose 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
20%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
19.1%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partick Thistle's form might have worsened.
Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montrose's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partick Thistle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montrose, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Partick Thistle - Montrose Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Stewart H. ⚽, Guthrie N. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Carter G. ⚽, Cowper C. (A),
61', 1 - 2, Robinson A. ⚽, Donaldson R. (A),
63', 2 - 2, McGoldrick S. ⚽, Longcake I. (A),
67', 3 - 2, McGoldrick S. ⚽, Donaldson R. (A),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ SWPL 1 Women (Championship Group: ) and 10th in the SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick Thistle won 1.
Partick Thistle has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Montrose is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Partick Thistle for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Partick Thistle has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:11 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Partick Thistle against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).