Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Patacona		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.9
	3.45	3.3	1.97
	3.56	3.37	1.89
	3.68	3.48	1.89
	3.61	3.52	1.86
	3.45	3.3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.4)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	1.91 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patacona
25.7%

Draw
26.9%

Castellon B
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patacona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patacona's form might have worsened.

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patacona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Patacona - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
11', 1 - 2, ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 2 - 3, ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, ⚽,
88', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
13.10.24	Torrellano - Patacona	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Patacona - Atlético Saguntino	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Crevillente Deportivo - Patacona	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Patacona - Ontinyent 1931	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Levante B - Patacona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWL
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.10.24	Rayo Ibense - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Castellon B - Soneja	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Utiel - Castellon B	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Torrellano - Castellon B	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	Castellon B - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
24.03.24	Castellon B - Patacona	1:4
15.11.23	Patacona - Castellon B	1:0
14.01.23	Patacona - Castellon B	0:2

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