Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Paternò		Sambiase

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.02
	3.19	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paternò
28%

Draw
28.2%

Sambiase
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paternò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Paternò - Sambiase Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 1, Costanzo G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Paternò is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sambiase has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sambiase might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paternò won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Paternò won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Paternò - Gela	1:4 ✺
09.11.25	Enna - Paternò	3:0 ✺
05.11.25	Acireale - Paternò	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Paternò - Athletic Palermo	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Paternò - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Sambiase - Acireale	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gela - Sambiase	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Sambiase - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Athletic Palermo - Sambiase	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sambiase - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
27.04.25	Paternò - Sambiase	1:1
15.12.24	Sambiase - Paternò	2:1

Paternò - Sambiase: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide