Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Paterna		Crevillente Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.55	2.48
	3.2	3.1	2.08
	2.49	2.61	3.06
	2.53	2.98	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.26)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	2.61 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paterna
32.8%

Draw
32.3%

Crevillente Deportivo
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paterna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Crevillente Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crevillente Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paterna than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paterna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crevillente Deportivo than the current prediction. (+22.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crevillente Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Paterna is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crevillente is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crevillente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paterna won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Paterna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paterna CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.05.21	Hércules B - Paterna	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Paterna - Villajoyosa	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Novelda - Paterna	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Paterna	1:2 ✺
04.04.21	Paterna - Hércules B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Crevillente Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.05.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Vilamarxant	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Benicarló - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Torrent	3:0 ✺
17.04.21	Acero - Crevillente Deportivo	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Paterna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.04.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Paterna	1:2
21.12.19	Crevillente Deportivo - Paterna	2:0
27.01.19	Crevillente Deportivo - Paterna	0:1
09.09.18	Paterna - Crevillente Deportivo	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.12.17	Crevillente Deportivo - Paterna	1:2

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