Match Info

Paranaense 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Patriotas		Paranavaí

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.28	2.69	3.53
	2.2	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.96)	2.83 ↓ (3.06)	3.38 ↓ (3.75)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
41.4%

Draw
31.9%

Paranavaí
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

29.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Paranavaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patriotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paranavaí than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Victor Hugo ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Vinicius Ribeiro (Penalty Awarded),
1, Vera M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Queiroz C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Patriotas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paranavaí has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Paranavaí has had a series of home games.

Patriotas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas Curitiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
16.05.26	Paranavaí - Patriotas	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Nacional PR - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Patriotas	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Patriotas - Prudentópolis	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Patriotas - Nacional PR	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLWW
- AC Paranavaí
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
16.05.26	Paranavaí - Patriotas	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Laranja Mecânica - Paranavaí	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Paranavaí - Laranja Mecânica	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Paranavaí - Toledo	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Paranavaí - Laranja Mecânica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
16.05.26	Paranavaí - Patriotas	1:2
08.03.26	Patriotas - Paranavaí	1:0
23.06.24	Patriotas - Paranavaí	3:0

Patriotas - Paranavaí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide