Match Info
Mineiro 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 19 July 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Pedro Nascimento Alves (Patrocinio)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Patrocinense |
|
Democrata SL |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.60 |
2.60 |
2.80 |
|
 |
2.50 |
2.63 |
2.65 |
|
 |
2.6 |
2.56 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.67 |
2.66 |
2.92 |
 Watch |
 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.61 |
2.64 |
2.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.6) |
2.6 ↓
(2.85) |
2.8 ↑
(2.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Patrocinense
34.3% | Draw
34.1% | Democrata SL
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Democrata SL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (+1.1%)Patrocinense - Democrata SL Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Democrata SL (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Democrata SL (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Fernandinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 51', 0 - 2, Marcelo Macola ⚽,
- 68', 0 - 3, Wellington ⚽,
- 84', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.Patrocinense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Democrata SL has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Patrocinense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Patrocinense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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