Match Info

Date: 4 July 2022, Monday


	Patronato 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.9	3.35	2.15
	2.85	3.4	2.15
	2.98	3.67	2.13
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.75	3.34	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato 2
31.9%

Draw
26.9%

Newells Old Boys 2
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.3%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Patronato 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Patronato 2 will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Newells Old Boys 2 will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys 2: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Patronato 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Newell's Old Boys 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patronato 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patronato 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.06.22	Independiente 2 - Patronato 2	7:1 ✺
19.06.22	Patronato 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
15.06.22	Aldosivi 2 - Patronato 2	6:1 ✺
10.06.22	Patronato 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:1 ✺
03.06.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Patronato 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.06.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
20.06.22	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
15.06.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:0 ✺
09.06.22	San Lorenzo 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:3 ✺
02.06.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Banfield 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
13.04.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Patronato 2	1:0

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