Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Pavia		Arconatese

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.30	4.33
	1.71	3.33	4.39
	1.7	3.48	4.64	Watch
	1.64	3.35	4.55
	1.84	3.36	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)	4.46 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavia
52.8%

Draw
26.9%

Arconatese
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavia's performance.

Arconatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Pavia - Arconatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pavia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Pavia has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pavia	6	1	4	1	5:3	2	7
16	Arconatese	6	0	3	3	4:13	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.09.26	Pavia - Solbiatese	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Pavia - Crema	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Pavia - AlbinoLeffe	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.05.26	Breno - Pavia	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Casatese - Pavia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLWT
- GS Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.09.26	Pistoiese - Arconatese	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.26	Arconatese - Leon	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.05.25	Breno - Arconatese	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Arconatese - Chievo	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Arconatese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
25.02.18	Arconatese - Pavia	2:0

Pavia - Arconatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide