Match Info

Brasileiro A2 Women - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Paysandu		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	1.97	3.26	3.36
	2.03	3.23	3.46	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.94	3.46	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.35)	3.28 ↑ (3.11)	3.35 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
45.6%

Draw
27.5%

Vila Nova
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paysandu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Paysandu - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Paysandu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vila Nova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
25.04.26	Paysandu - Vasco da Gama	0:5 ✺
18.04.26	3B da Amazônia - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Pérolas Negras - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Paysandu - Itabirito	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Ceará - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLLL
- Vila Nova FC Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
02.05.26	Vila Nova - Doce Mel	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vila Nova - Itabirito	1:5 ✺
04.04.26	Ação - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vila Nova - Alagoana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW

Paysandu - Vila Nova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide