Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Peñaranda		Cristo Atlético

	1	X	2
	6.8	3.85	1.42
	7.64	3.72	1.43
	6.9	3.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.11 ↓ (7.25)	3.79 ↓ (3.84)	1.43 (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñaranda
12.8%

Draw
23.9%

Cristo Atlético
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

23.7%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

19.6%

77%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñaranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cristo Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñaranda than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristo Atlético than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cristo Atlético could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 8 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 8 (Promotion Group)).

Peñaranda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cristo Atlético is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peñaranda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cristo Atlético is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñaranda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Peñaranda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.02.21	Peñaranda - Salamanca B	0:0 ✺
10.02.21	Bembibre - Peñaranda	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Atlético Astorga - Peñaranda	4:1 ✺
17.01.21	Santa Marta Tormes - Peñaranda	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Peñaranda - La Bañeza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLW
- CF Cristo Atlético
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.02.21	Bembibre - Cristo Atlético	0:3 ✺
10.02.21	Cristo Atlético - Becerril	1:0 ✺
06.02.21	Cristo Atlético - La Bañeza	0:1 ✺
03.02.21	Cristo Atlético - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Leonesa B - Cristo Atlético	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.10.20	Cristo Atlético - Peñaranda	2:0

Peñaranda - Cristo Atlético: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide