Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Peñaranda		Leonesa B

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.3	2.02
	3.45	3.8	1.8
	3.49	4.06	1.81
	4.56	3.42	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.82)	3.65 ↑ (3.3)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñaranda
25.5%

Draw
25.1%

Leonesa B
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.2%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñaranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Leonesa B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñaranda than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñaranda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peñaranda - Leonesa B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 8 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 8 (Second stage)).

Peñaranda is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leonesa B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leonesa B will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Peñaranda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.02.21	Becerril - Peñaranda	0:0 ✺
23.02.21	Peñaranda - Becerril	1:1 ✺
17.02.21	Peñaranda - Cristo Atlético	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Peñaranda - Salamanca B	0:0 ✺
10.02.21	Bembibre - Peñaranda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLTL
- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.02.21	Leonesa B - Salamanca B	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Atlético Tordesillas - Leonesa B	1:2 ✺
14.02.21	Leonesa B - La Virgen del Camino	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Leonesa B - Cristo Atlético	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWTW

Peñaranda - Leonesa B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide