Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday


	PeKa		Keski-Uusimaa

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.8	1.93
	3.3	4.1	1.75
	2.9	3.85	1.91
	3.13	4.5	1.98
	3.1	3.9	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.78)	4.03 ↓ (4.64)	1.9 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PeKa
29.6%

Draw
22.6%

Keski-Uusimaa
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

19.7%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

18.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PeKa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PeKa's performance.

Keski-Uusimaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keski-Uusimaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PeKa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PeKa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keski-Uusimaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

PeKa - Keski Uusimaa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. PeKa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Keski-Uusimaa will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keski-Uusimaa: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)).

PeKa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Keski-Uusimaa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PeKa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Keski-Uusimaa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches PeKa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams PeKa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PeKa
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
06.08.22	PeKa - Kiffen 08	0:4 ✺
30.07.22	LaPa - PeKa	2:4 ✺
23.07.22	PeKa - Futura Porvoo	1:2 ✺
09.07.22	PeKa - Atlantis Helsinki	0:0 ✺
06.07.22	Lahden Reipas - PeKa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
17.08.22	KaPa - Keski-Uusimaa	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Keski-Uusimaa - PPJ	3:2 ✺
06.08.22	NJS - Keski-Uusimaa	3:3 ✺
30.07.22	KuPS Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	4:0 ✺
23.07.22	Keski-Uusimaa - Lahden Reipas	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
06.06.22	Keski-Uusimaa - PeKa	6:0
03.10.21	Keski-Uusimaa - PeKa	3:3
19.09.21	PeKa - Keski-Uusimaa	1:2

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