The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peamount United 40.6%
Draw 25.5%
Wexford Youths 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
24.7%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
23.5%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peamount United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Wexford Youths has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peamount United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wexford Youths than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wexford Youths could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peamount United - Wexford Youths Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Daly M. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Rossiter C. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Gray C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peamount won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Peamount (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Wexford have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wexford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Peamount has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peamount against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:8 goals (averaging 2.2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Wexford W
20
8
6
6
34:25
9
30
9
Peamount W
20
5
3
12
23:38
-15
18
Last Results with these Odds
Wexford Youths - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.