The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pecsi 56.3%
Draw 22.6%
MTK Budapest II 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23.6%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
22.3%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pecsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
MTK Budapest II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pecsi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Pecsi - MTK Budapest II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ NB III ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5th).
Pecsi is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by MTK II have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
MTK II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Pecsi has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Pecsi carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Pecsi in today's match, at odds of 1.55.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Pecsi has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pecsi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).