Match Info

1. Lig - Round 29

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Pendikspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	2.09	3.14	3.38	Watch
	2.12	3.3	3.65
	2.09	3.3	3.48	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.13	3.24	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.86)	3.23 ↓ (3.52)	3.48 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
44.7%

Draw
28.7%

Vanspor
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pendikspor's form might have worsened.

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pendikspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Pendikspor - Vanspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pendikspor will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Vanspor will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pendikspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dilmen D. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 5. Sulungoz B. (C) 4. Soldo V. 6. Sequeira 60. Karadeniz B. 34. Rogerio Thuram 18. Akman H. 14. Yesil H. 8. Denic D. 9. Clarke-Harris J.	25. Akbaba C. (C) 13. Oulare N. 53. Cavusoglu M. 6. Jevsenak Z. 35. Isciler B. 41. Ozcan M. 8. Traore A. 7. Hostikka S. 10. Jefferson 45. Bars E. 19. Bikoue
Substitutes
12. Bitin G. 66. Dogan F. 88. Fidan Y. 17. Karademir A. 30. Koyuncu E. (G) 37. Ogulcan A. 28. Pekdemir E. 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A. 97. Yuvakuran U. (G)	65. Bingol M. 21. Demirol A. 22. Destici S. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 77. Usta G. 1. Uysal A. (G) 11. Xesc
Coaches
Kaloglu S.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bars E. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Soldo V. ⚽, Karadeniz B. (A),
31', Jefferson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Traore A. ↓, Xesc ↑,
82', Rogerio Thuram 🟨,
84', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
86', Bars E. ↓, Destici S. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Pendikspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Cicek E. (Suspended) Isen B. (Suspended)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pendikspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Pendikspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	10:13	-3	10
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
01.03.26	Adana Demirspor - Pendikspor	0:5 ✺
23.02.26	Pendikspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Pendikspor - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Pendikspor - Amed SK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
28.02.26	Vanspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
23.02.26	Amed SK - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Vanspor - Bodrumspor	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sivasspor - Vanspor	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Vanspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
18.10.25	Vanspor - Pendikspor	1:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.11.20	Pendikspor - Vanspor	3:5

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