Match Info

Primera Divisió - Round 16

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Penya Encarnada		Esperança

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.57	4.38
	1.65	3.78	4.49	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.4
	1.61	3.62	4.89
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.61 (3.61)	4.53 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penya Encarnada
55.2%

Draw
24.9%

Esperança
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

21%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Encarnada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Esperança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Encarnada than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penya Encarnada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esperança than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Penya Encarnada - Esperança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Becerra J. (G) 5. Ahumada R. 29. Basulto M. 4. Escobar Acuna R. A. 14. Farhat D. 8. Garcia J. 6. Henrique A. 11. Hernandez D. 18. Mansilla D. 12. Ricardo A. 10. Rony J.	31. Bejarano J. (G) 34. Bento D. 91. David C. 5. Del Castillo M. 7. Garrido A. 3. Montalbo A. 23. Najera A. 80. Neves T. 44. Nikiema E. 77. Rober 25. Salgueiro G.
Substitutes
17. Baileyegn N. 13. Maqueda Boa A. (G) 27. Pinilla I. 20. Tchamba D. 23. Vallotti T.	11. Amaral L. 9. Balastegui E. 47. Cardoso M. 8. Claros J. 12. De La Fuente A. (G) 6. Ruiz M.

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Primera Divisiu00f3 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penya won 5.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Penya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Penya has had a series of away games.

In this match, Penya is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Penya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Penya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Esperanca	3	1	1	1	7:4	3	4
7	Penya	3	0	2	1	3:7	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penya Encarnada
Andorra Primera Divisio
24.01.26	Ràngers - Penya Encarnada	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Carroi - Penya Encarnada	0:0 ✺
Andorra Cup
11.01.26	Penya Encarnada - Ràngers	0:3 ✺
Andorra Primera Divisio
17.12.25	Inter Escaldes - Penya Encarnada	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atlètic Escaldes - Penya Encarnada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- CF Esperança Andorra
Andorra Primera Divisio
25.01.26	Esperança - Ordino	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Esperança - FC Santa Coloma	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Inter Escaldes - Esperança	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	UE Santa Coloma - Esperança	7:0 ✺
10.12.25	Atlètic Escaldes - Esperança	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Andorra Primera Divisio
09.11.25	Esperança - Penya Encarnada	0:1
27.04.25	Penya Encarnada - Esperança	4:1
16.02.25	Esperança - Penya Encarnada	1:2
29.09.24	Penya Encarnada - Esperança	4:1
05.05.24	Penya Encarnada - Esperança	3:2
03.12.23	Esperança - Penya Encarnada	0:3
17.09.23	Penya Encarnada - Esperança	1:0

Penya Encarnada - Esperança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide