Match Info

MALAYSIA: Super League - Round 16

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Perak Stadium (Ipoh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka


	Perak FA		Kedah FA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.6	3.9
	1.75	3.85	4	Watch
	1.72	3.87	4.29
	1.77	3.82	4.21	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.74	4.06	4.02	Watch
	1.75	3.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.67)	3.81 ↑ (3.6)	4.09 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perak FA
53.2%

Draw
24.2%

Kedah FA
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

25.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perak FA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perak FA's performance.

Kedah FA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kedah FA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perak FA than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perak FA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kedah FA than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kedah FA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Perak FA - Kedah FA Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Perak will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Kedah FA will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perak: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Nadzli Haziq (G) 2. Afolabi S. 28. Ariffin A. 6. Azhar F. 7. Clayton 11. Haikal W. (C) 16. Idris F. 17. Kanybekov A. 3. Mawat T. 15. Nyholm J. 8. Pillay S.	25. Rozaimi S. (G) 35. Abu Bakar H. 19. Afif A. 28. Ahmad S. (C) 18. Amirul Afiq W. 23. Cleylton 27. Farhan A. 14. Gordic M. 13. Hakim L. 77. Hisyam A. 21. Zulkifi F.
Substitutes
12. Asyraf A. 35. Hakimi D. 22. Hamid R. (G) 34. Ismail A. H. 4. Luiz Henrique 30. Milunovic L. 14. Saiyadi F. 40. Yusni A. 23. Zikri A.	51. Ahmad H. 66. Akmal K. 52. Bin Tarmizi M. D. 20. Danel F. 68. Mohd Ridhuwan K. A. S. 29. Rosli A. 57. Rosli Hakim A. M. 2. Zahir A. 44. Zaki N. (G)
Coaches
Che Lah Y.	Zain N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Afolabi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kanybekov A. ↓, Saiyadi F. ↑,
62', Nyholm J. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Clayton (Pen),
81', Afif A. ↓, Akmal K. ↑,
82', Afolabi S. ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
82', Haikal W. ↓, Milunovic L. ↑,
88', Gordic M. ↓, Rosli A. ↑,
88', Abu Bakar H. ↓, Danel F. ↑,
88', Farhan A. ↓, Ahmad H. ↑,
89', Azhar F. ↓, Hakimi D. ↑,
89', Clayton ↓, Ismail A. H. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Hisyam A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perak won 2.

Recent matches Perak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kedah FA is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Perak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Perak will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Perak won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:28 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Perak won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perak FA
Malaysian Cup
30.11.24	Perak FA - Kelantan The Real Warriors	3:1 ✺
22.11.24	Kelantan The Real Warriors - Perak FA	0:3 ✺
Malaysian Super League
10.11.24	Perak FA - Johor Darul Takzim	0:5 ✺
02.11.24	PDRM FA - Perak FA	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Perak FA - Terengganu FA	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTT
- Kedah FA
Malaysian Cup
01.12.24	Kuala Lumpur City - Kedah FA	4:1 ✺
22.11.24	Kedah FA - Kuala Lumpur City	3:2 ✺
Malaysian Super League
02.11.24	Kedah FA - Selangor FA	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Sabah FA - Kedah FA	5:2 ✺
25.10.24	Kedah FA - PDRM FA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Malaysian Super League
24.05.24	Kedah FA - Perak FA	0:2
Malaysian Cup
18.08.23	Kedah FA - Perak FA	2:1
03.08.23	Perak FA - Kedah FA	3:1
Malaysian Super League
07.06.23	Kedah FA - Perak FA	3:0
25.02.23	Perak FA - Kedah FA	1:4
28.08.21	Kedah FA - Perak FA	1:0
17.04.21	Perak FA - Kedah FA	1:1

Perak FA - Kedah FA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide