Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Peralada		Montañesa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.08	3.1	3.35
	2.11	3.13	3.29
	2.08	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.69)	3.13 ↓ (3.5)	3.27 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peralada
43.5%

Draw
28.9%

Montañesa
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

27.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peralada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peralada's form might have worsened.

Montañesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montañesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peralada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montañesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Peralada - Montañesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Noureddine K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 🟥,
46', 🟥,
73', 1 - 1, Doumbouya I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peralada won 2.

Recent matches Peralada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montañesa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peralada will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Peralada won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Peralada won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Peralada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Peralada - Mollerussa	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	LHospitalet - Peralada	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Badalona - Peralada	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Peralada	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Peralada - Reus FC Reddis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWL
- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Montañesa - San Cristóbal	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Montañesa - Girona B	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	LHospitalet - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Montañesa - Grama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
17.11.24	Montañesa - Peralada	0:0
24.03.24	Peralada - Montañesa	2:0
05.11.23	Montañesa - Peralada	0:0
12.02.23	Peralada - Montañesa	1:0
16.10.22	Montañesa - Peralada	2:0
11.04.21	Montañesa - Peralada	2:2

Peralada - Montañesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide